{"id":41402,"date":"2018-05-15T14:36:32","date_gmt":"2018-05-15T13:36:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pbctoday.co.uk\/news\/?p=41402"},"modified":"2018-05-15T14:36:32","modified_gmt":"2018-05-15T13:36:32","slug":"londons-new-build-housing-growth-declines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pbctoday.co.uk\/news\/planning-construction-news\/londons-new-build-housing-growth-declines\/41402\/","title":{"rendered":"London\u2019s new build housing growth declines"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Annual new build sales are falling in Central London and sales in Greater London also appear to be declining, according to LCP\u2019s latest LCPAca Residential Index report<\/h2>\n<p>The latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.londoncentralportfolio.com\/research-media#research\">LCPAca Residential Index<\/a> reports annual new build sales falling 13.8% in Prime Central London. \u00a0Sales in Greater London have also slowed, with growth falling from 25% to 5.2%, resulting in a fall in market share to 15.6% from 20% a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>These concerning findings have now been corroborated by an analysis undertaken by LCP of\u00a0new build data from\u00a0the latest LOREMA report for 2017.<\/p>\n<h3>A marked slowdown in Inner London<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>New build starts, the truest indicator of market buoyancy, fell by 25.4% in Inner London in 2017, compared with 2016.<\/li>\n<li>The largest falls were seen in Southwark (61.8%) and Tower Hamlets (43.3%).<\/li>\n<li>Applications increased by 4%, although there were falls in seven\u00a0of the 11 boroughs with the largest at just over 42% in both Wandsworth and Westminster.<\/li>\n<li>Planning permissions also fell by 7.4% and completions by 6.1%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Impacting London as a whole<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>New build starts fell by 1.1%\u00a0despite\u00a0a 25.8% increase in Outer London.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbctoday.co.uk\/news\/planning-construction-news\/study-reveals-the-places-to-gain-planning-permission\/40355\/\">Planning permissions<\/a> also fell by 1% and completions by 3.4%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Prices fall sharply in Prime London<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Average prices in prime London have fallen by 12.7%.<\/li>\n<li>Outer London has seen a more robust performance, with average prices increasing by 8.5%.<\/li>\n<li>Nevertheless, average prices of new builds in London as a whole have fallen by 2.6%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Tower block starts fall significantly<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Tower starts (residential buildings of more than 20 storeys) dropped from 46 in 2016 to 32 in 2017, resulting in units started\u00a0falling 33%, from 8,200 to 5,500.<\/li>\n<li>Tower applications fell almost 10% from 74 to 67, with far fewer in Zone 1 than previously.<\/li>\n<li>Conspicuous migration of towers from the centre to the periphery of the capital, with 30% intended for the\u00a0rental market compared with 0 in 2013.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Naomi Heaton, CEO of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.londoncentralportfolio.com\/\">London Central Portfolio (LCP)<\/a> said: \u201cFindings from LCP&#8217;s April LCPAca Residential Index, LOREMA\u2019S 2018 report and the ONS all show a troubling picture for the new build sector in London.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cONS data just released for the first quarter shows the construction sector suffering its worst performance since 2012, with private housebuilding shrinking for the first time since June last year. The sector contracted at its sharpest rate in just over five years, with output falling by 2.3% compared with the previous three months. Whilst the \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbctoday.co.uk\/news\/planning-construction-news\/beast-from-the-east-chills-housebuilding-in-q1\/40839\/\">Beast from the East<\/a>&#8216; has shouldered much of the blame, in truth it was already suffering. According to the ONS, a large portion of the fall was due to a sharp 2.6% decline in January. This is a significant barometer of whether developers think there is strong enough demand for long-term projects.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA downturn in international buyer sentiment has impacted the new build sector\u00a0which remains the most volatile. According to the LCPAca Residential Index, there have been both quarterly and annual price falls in Prime Central London and a lacklustre performance in Greater London. \u00a0It is quite possible new build transactions will continue to decline, particularly in Inner London, given the 25.4% fall in new build starts reported by LOREMA. This situation could well worsen over the next two to three years, as schemes under construction which fail to sell off-plan come to completion.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Heaton added: \u201cThis may well impact developers\u2019 desire to commence new build projects, resulting in a negative impact on the provision of new housing, one of the Government\u2019s key aims. However, an increase in activity in Outer London may help mitigate this, particularly given the tower blocks being developed in the more peripheral areas of London, The fact that 30% of new tower starts are for the rental market compared with zero four years ago is also encouraging for the burgeoning <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbctoday.co.uk\/news\/planning-construction-news\/renters-spend-more-income-on-housing-than-homeowners\/35883\/\">generation of renters<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"mk-custom-module-container\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Annual new build sales are falling in Central London and sales in Greater London also appear to be declining, according to LCP\u2019s latest LCPAca Residential Index report<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[304],"tags":[676,572,656,747],"stakeholder_rel_tag":[],"contributor_rel_tag":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-41402","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-planning-construction-news","7":"tag-construction","8":"tag-housebuilding","9":"tag-housing","10":"tag-property"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v26.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>London\u2019s new build housing growth declines | Planning, Building &amp; 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